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Red427
2834204.9
217214.3
51150.3
Blue265
4779148.6
2960163.5
1506178.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4252630100200300500600700427265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#10
214.30.3
213.7213.4
Auto20.4
Teleop173.5
End19.4
red by 35.9
1506
#32
178.41.5
181.2179.7
Auto21.9
Teleop137.9
End16.9
Second
204.92.0
199.8201.8
Auto24.5
Teleop152.4
End27.6
red by 41.4
2960
#31
163.51.5
166.2164.7
Auto22.7
Teleop127.3
End10.6
Third
51
#15
150.30.1
149.7149.8
Auto19.4
Teleop113.4
End18.0
red by 1.8
4779
#38
148.61.7
152.3150.6
Auto20.6
Teleop110.4
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed