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Red290
27217.7
5053150.5
5114169.7
Blue280
5502127.4
703149.5
67211.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions390294100200500600290280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#14
217.70.7
216.7217.4
Auto25.2
Teleop164.3
End29.4
red by 6.5
67
#1
211.21.2
208.4209.7
Auto21.7
Teleop153.5
End36.6
Second
5114
#17
169.70.7
171.1170.4
Auto19.5
Teleop127.9
End20.0
red by 20.2
703
#23
149.50.2
149.3149.2
Auto20.4
Teleop115.8
End12.7
Third
5053
#30
150.52.4
152.9150.5
Auto20.0
Teleop118.5
End8.7
red by 23.1
5502
#36
127.41.5
128.9127.4
Auto16.5
Teleop94.5
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsMissed92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsMissed53%Face the Boss oddsMissed