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Red503
5612142.2
548155.5
1322170.2
Blue119
314148.6
494187.9
3656181.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28837401,0002,0003,0004,0005,000503119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1322
#20
170.20.9
169.3170.2
Auto18.9
Teleop121.4
End30.3
blue by 17.6
494
#25
187.92.2
193.2191.0
Auto18.3
Teleop149.9
End15.4
Second
548
#16
155.50.6
155.0155.5
Auto17.2
Teleop120.4
End18.1
blue by 26.3
3656
#22
181.81.2
187.5186.3
Auto19.3
Teleop136.7
End25.4
Third
5612
#37
142.21.4
143.6142.2
Auto16.6
Teleop115.5
End10.8
blue by 6.4
314
#39
148.61.5
152.0150.5
Auto18.2
Teleop115.7
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsMissed