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Red293
862171.3
2960163.5
2834204.9
Blue351
245180.4
5460200.8
2137153.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364349250300400450293351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.92.0
201.8203.8
Auto24.5
Teleop152.4
End27.6
red by 4.1
200.81.0
197.2198.2
Auto19.7
Teleop155.7
End27.1
Second
862
#33
171.32.4
175.9173.5
Auto20.2
Teleop135.4
End11.3
blue by 9.2
245
#11
180.40.4
179.6180.0
Auto18.7
Teleop129.2
End33.5
Third
2960
#31
163.51.2
164.7163.5
Auto22.7
Teleop127.3
End10.6
red by 10.3
2137
#34
153.22.1
157.6155.6
Auto20.9
Teleop117.4
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed56%Face the Boss oddsEarned