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Red365
2054174.7
3656201.0
720997.8
Blue308
5688125.7
5502131.5
7056151.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions418280100200500600700800365308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201.00.5
198.6199.2
Auto25.8
Teleop142.7
End32.2
red by 50.0
7056
#16
151.00.3
150.7151.0
Auto18.2
Teleop104.7
End29.6
Second
174.70.6
172.0172.6
Auto22.8
Teleop125.9
End29.8
red by 43.2
5502
#11
131.50.1
131.4131.5
Auto16.1
Teleop97.1
End18.4
Third
7209
#28
97.80.1
98.298.1
Auto13.5
Teleop75.9
End7.9
blue by 27.9
5688
#14
125.70.1
125.5125.7
Auto18.8
Teleop92.7
End14.6