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Red388
2054174.7
3656201.0
720997.8
Blue283
5462157.8
3658133.0
3688161.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386315100200500600700800388283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201.00.5
199.2199.6
Auto25.8
Teleop142.7
End32.2
red by 39.4
3688
#17
161.60.2
161.2161.4
Auto21.2
Teleop128.8
End11.7
Second
174.70.6
172.6173.1
Auto22.8
Teleop125.9
End29.8
red by 16.9
5462
#20
157.80.2
157.5157.6
Auto18.1
Teleop113.6
End27.2
Third
7209
#28
97.80.1
98.198.0
Auto13.5
Teleop75.9
End7.9
blue by 35.3
133.00.4
132.3132.7
Auto17.5
Teleop100.4
End16.3