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Red298
6002120.8
7187161.5
6642107.8
Blue349
5462157.8
3658133.0
3688161.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2853910100200500600298349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.50.4
160.8161.2
Auto21.9
Teleop113.8
End27.4
Level
3688
#17
161.60.2
160.7160.9
Auto21.2
Teleop128.8
End11.7
Second
120.80.0
120.8120.8
Auto18.1
Teleop90.9
End9.0
blue by 37.0
5462
#20
157.80.2
157.1157.3
Auto18.1
Teleop113.6
End27.2
Third
6642
#27
107.80.5
106.9107.3
Auto16.7
Teleop81.1
End11.5
blue by 25.3
133.00.5
131.3131.8
Auto17.5
Teleop100.4
End16.3