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Red332
2834189.0
5501187.1
5708121.0
Blue389
5535150.9
2959185.1
5256122.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394321100200500600700332389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.00.3
187.6187.9
Auto21.4
Teleop143.9
End27.8
red by 3.9
185.10.2
185.4185.3
Auto22.2
Teleop129.9
End33.5
Second
187.10.3
185.7186.0
Auto17.1
Teleop137.9
End34.9
red by 36.2
5535
#12
150.90.4
149.7150.1
Auto16.0
Teleop118.1
End17.0
Third
5708
#23
121.00.0
120.7120.8
Auto18.1
Teleop90.8
End12.4
blue by 1.0
5256
#39
122.00.1
122.1122.0
Auto15.3
Teleop90.2
End20.6