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Red241
6588114.4
720395.0
5535150.9
Blue121
7222140.7
7219101.1
3658133.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262316150200350400450500241121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5535
#12
150.90.6
146.2146.9
Auto16.0
Teleop118.1
End17.0
red by 10.2
7222
#13
140.71.6
138.1139.7
Auto19.3
Teleop104.3
End19.0
Second
6588
#15
114.40.7
112.7113.4
Auto19.2
Teleop85.0
End10.5
blue by 18.7
133.02.3
125.2127.5
Auto17.5
Teleop100.4
End16.3
Third
7203
#34
95.01.3
92.190.8
Auto14.6
Teleop73.7
End8.3
blue by 6.1
7219
#19
101.10.9
99.8100.7
Auto16.0
Teleop76.7
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed