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Red454
5688125.7
5227108.8
6002120.8
Blue301
1677108.0
3688161.6
7221106.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277288100150200250350400450454301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5688
#14
125.70.1
126.5126.6
Auto18.8
Teleop92.7
End14.6
blue by 35.9
3688
#17
161.60.2
160.1160.3
Auto21.2
Teleop128.8
End11.7
Second
120.80.1
111.7111.8
Auto18.1
Teleop90.9
End9.0
red by 12.8
1677
#29
108.01.2
110.2109.0
Auto15.9
Teleop86.6
End6.1
Third
5227
#25
108.81.9
112.9111.0
Auto12.6
Teleop83.9
End17.0
red by 2.0
7221
#31
106.80.6
102.4101.8
Auto14.4
Teleop81.4
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed