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Red321
2834189.0
5502131.5
658995.0
Blue248
6119116.9
5182140.4
7197129.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3292770100200400500600700800321248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.00.6
178.2178.8
Auto21.4
Teleop143.9
End27.8
red by 48.7
140.41.0
127.0128.0
Auto18.9
Teleop99.8
End24.5
Second
5502
#11
131.50.4
131.3131.0
Auto16.1
Teleop97.1
End18.4
red by 2.2
7197
#30
129.20.2
136.2136.0
Auto17.4
Teleop89.2
End24.0
Third
6589
#40
95.00.3
89.389.7
Auto13.9
Teleop68.6
End12.9
blue by 21.9
6119
#22
116.90.5
114.7115.2
Auto18.2
Teleop84.7
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed