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Red246
4327131.6
5502131.5
7056151.0
Blue312
5535150.9
3658133.0
6425118.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326297100200400500600246312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7056
#16
151.01.4
144.7146.1
Auto18.2
Teleop104.7
End29.6
red by 0.1
5535
#12
150.90.4
147.1146.7
Auto16.0
Teleop118.1
End17.0
Second
4327
#24
131.60.2
128.4128.6
Auto15.2
Teleop100.5
End18.5
blue by 1.5
133.00.8
127.5128.2
Auto17.5
Teleop100.4
End16.3
Third
5502
#11
131.50.1
131.0131.1
Auto16.1
Teleop97.1
End18.4
red by 12.7
6425
#18
118.80.1
119.6119.4
Auto15.8
Teleop87.5
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed