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Red304
7221106.8
5182140.4
4482127.9
Blue330
7219101.1
2959185.1
6588114.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258352100200300400500600304330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.42.3
128.9131.2
Auto18.9
Teleop99.8
End24.5
blue by 44.8
185.11.9
182.4184.3
Auto22.2
Teleop129.9
End33.5
Second
4482
#26
127.92.0
114.6116.5
Auto17.4
Teleop100.5
End13.6
red by 13.5
6588
#15
114.40.8
113.6114.4
Auto19.2
Teleop85.0
End10.5
Third
7221
#31
106.80.2
101.4101.6
Auto14.4
Teleop81.4
End15.8
red by 5.8
7219
#19
101.10.5
100.0100.5
Auto16.0
Teleop76.7
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed