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Red248
5708121.0
4327131.6
5227108.8
Blue316
5182140.4
7056151.0
2834189.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2224390100300400500600700800248316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4327
#24
131.60.2
128.3128.0
Auto15.2
Teleop100.5
End18.5
blue by 57.5
189.01.6
181.2182.8
Auto21.4
Teleop143.9
End27.8
Second
5708
#23
121.01.0
114.7115.7
Auto18.1
Teleop90.8
End12.4
blue by 30.0
7056
#16
151.00.8
146.8147.5
Auto18.2
Teleop104.7
End29.6
Third
5227
#25
108.80.1
109.2109.1
Auto12.6
Teleop83.9
End17.0
blue by 31.6
140.42.1
131.2133.2
Auto18.9
Teleop99.8
End24.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed