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Red308
5502131.5
5535150.9
3688161.6
Blue393
2054174.7
5462157.8
4482127.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309334100200400500600308393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#17
161.60.8
160.0159.2
Auto21.2
Teleop128.8
End11.7
blue by 13.1
174.71.2
169.3168.1
Auto22.8
Teleop125.9
End29.8
Second
5535
#12
150.90.1
146.5146.4
Auto16.0
Teleop118.1
End17.0
blue by 6.9
5462
#20
157.80.2
154.7154.9
Auto18.1
Teleop113.6
End27.2
Third
5502
#11
131.50.1
130.8130.7
Auto16.1
Teleop97.1
End18.4
red by 3.6
4482
#26
127.91.8
116.5118.3
Auto17.4
Teleop100.5
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed