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Red160
7197129.2
6580108.6
6588114.4
Blue421
5462157.8
3656201.0
5501187.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204650100300400500600700160421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#30
129.20.0
137.3137.4
Auto17.4
Teleop89.2
End24.0
blue by 71.7
201.01.5
179.7181.1
Auto25.8
Teleop142.7
End32.2
Second
6588
#15
114.41.0
116.0115.0
Auto19.2
Teleop85.0
End10.5
blue by 72.8
187.11.6
169.0170.6
Auto17.1
Teleop137.9
End34.9
Third
6580
#36
108.60.5
106.6107.1
Auto18.9
Teleop77.7
End14.9
blue by 49.1
5462
#20
157.81.0
148.0149.0
Auto18.1
Teleop113.6
End27.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed