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Red185
7221106.8
7187161.5
7222140.7
Blue378
2959185.1
4327131.6
6119116.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305354100200400500600185378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.51.2
148.2149.4
Auto21.9
Teleop113.8
End27.4
blue by 23.6
185.11.7
170.4172.1
Auto22.2
Teleop129.9
End33.5
Second
7222
#13
140.72.2
133.8136.0
Auto19.3
Teleop104.3
End19.0
red by 9.1
4327
#24
131.60.3
126.4126.7
Auto15.2
Teleop100.5
End18.5
Third
7221
#31
106.80.1
103.2103.3
Auto14.4
Teleop81.4
End15.8
blue by 10.1
6119
#22
116.90.6
114.9114.3
Auto18.2
Teleop84.7
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed