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Red199
5710109.4
6053109.7
2834189.0
Blue308
5688125.7
2054174.7
5535150.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270365100200300400500600199308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.02.2
173.7175.9
Auto21.4
Teleop143.9
End27.8
red by 14.3
174.71.9
166.0167.9
Auto22.8
Teleop125.9
End29.8
Second
6053
#21
109.71.3
106.4107.7
Auto15.7
Teleop81.7
End11.3
blue by 41.2
5535
#12
150.90.1
146.6146.5
Auto16.0
Teleop118.1
End17.0
Third
5710
#37
109.40.3
114.7115.1
Auto20.0
Teleop80.6
End9.4
blue by 16.2
5688
#14
125.70.7
127.4126.7
Auto18.8
Teleop92.7
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed