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Red287
6002120.8
7197129.2
4327131.6
Blue207
4408107.0
1677108.0
7187161.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322298100200400500287207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4327
#24
131.60.8
128.2129.0
Auto15.2
Teleop100.5
End18.5
blue by 30.0
161.51.4
158.0159.4
Auto21.9
Teleop113.8
End27.4
Second
7197
#30
129.21.1
132.9131.9
Auto17.4
Teleop89.2
End24.0
red by 21.3
1677
#29
108.01.0
109.6108.6
Auto15.9
Teleop86.6
End6.1
Third
120.81.8
116.2118.0
Auto18.1
Teleop90.9
End9.0
red by 13.8
4408
#38
107.01.2
110.1109.0
Auto18.5
Teleop80.8
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed