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Red401
5182140.4
3658133.0
5501187.1
Blue226
4482127.9
5685112.3
5256122.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388242100200300500600700401226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.11.1
182.0183.0
Auto17.1
Teleop137.9
End34.9
red by 59.3
4482
#26
127.92.3
120.4122.7
Auto17.4
Teleop100.5
End13.6
Second
140.41.8
134.6136.3
Auto18.9
Teleop99.8
End24.5
red by 18.3
5256
#39
122.00.8
121.3122.2
Auto15.3
Teleop90.2
End20.6
Third
133.00.3
129.2129.4
Auto17.5
Teleop100.4
End16.3
red by 20.8
5685
#10
112.30.5
111.5112.0
Auto18.0
Teleop79.6
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed