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Red252
494208.0
5674184.6
6078121.4
Blue424
302184.6
3357215.4
6085128.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349380100200300500600700252424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#3
208.00.6
206.9207.5
Auto23.2
Teleop155.7
End29.7
blue by 7.4
215.40.5
214.5215.0
Auto24.6
Teleop158.0
End33.6
Second
184.60.3
184.2184.5
Auto21.3
Teleop134.2
End28.9
red by 0.1
302
#11
184.60.5
183.5184.1
Auto18.6
Teleop145.6
End21.9
Third
6078
#17
121.40.3
120.9121.2
Auto17.1
Teleop89.1
End15.4
blue by 6.7
6085
#28
128.10.1
127.9128.0
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End11.4