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Red453
5150167.7
4216184.4
3655112.6
Blue173
1504146.9
6591128.9
6635108.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4032380100200300500600700453173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.40.5
182.9183.4
Auto24.8
Teleop139.2
End22.3
red by 37.5
1504
#25
146.90.1
147.0146.9
Auto19.3
Teleop107.9
End17.7
Second
167.70.5
166.2166.7
Auto19.5
Teleop125.1
End27.3
red by 38.8
128.90.2
128.6128.9
Auto19.4
Teleop92.8
End15.0
Third
3655
#30
112.60.2
112.0112.2
Auto17.3
Teleop90.9
End7.5
red by 3.7
6635
#26
108.90.0
108.9108.9
Auto14.4
Teleop83.7
End11.3