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Red269
6085128.1
555999.7
5238139.8
Blue160
7222133.8
3655112.6
7202127.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279261100200400500269160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5238
#10
139.81.4
132.3133.7
Auto17.1
Teleop104.2
End18.8
red by 6.0
7222
#19
133.810.2
87.998.1
Auto19.7
Teleop100.6
End16.2
Second
6085
#28
128.10.9
130.5129.6
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End11.4
red by 0.8
7202
#21
127.310.0
90.9100.9
Auto17.7
Teleop96.5
End14.9
Third
5559
#36
99.70.6
96.997.5
Auto15.2
Teleop74.9
End10.7
blue by 13.0
3655
#30
112.60.6
119.4118.9
Auto17.3
Teleop90.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed