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Red304
5676149.8
2611158.6
5282117.5
Blue210
5523130.2
7195132.6
7056136.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327274100200300400500304210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.62.0
138.6140.5
Auto22.1
Teleop118.8
End16.3
red by 22.0
7056
#23
136.69.0
87.596.5
Auto15.8
Teleop98.8
End26.1
Second
149.80.2
131.8132.0
Auto18.8
Teleop103.9
End28.5
red by 17.2
7195
#27
132.60.3
128.2127.9
Auto18.5
Teleop98.3
End12.2
Third
5282
#22
117.50.9
108.0108.9
Auto15.2
Teleop89.9
End12.0
blue by 12.7
5523
#14
130.20.2
118.8119.0
Auto19.8
Teleop99.1
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed