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Red377
5676149.8
5150167.7
6595113.7
Blue202
6591128.9
7221102.9
5688128.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3532320100200300400500377202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.70.5
160.3160.8
Auto19.5
Teleop125.1
End27.3
red by 38.8
128.92.0
118.8120.8
Auto19.4
Teleop92.8
End15.0
Second
149.81.4
132.5134.0
Auto18.8
Teleop103.9
End28.5
red by 21.5
5688
#20
128.33.9
117.0121.0
Auto17.2
Teleop95.6
End12.6
Third
6595
#29
113.71.2
107.6108.8
Auto17.9
Teleop87.5
End7.4
red by 10.8
7221
#38
102.90.7
102.1101.4
Auto15.0
Teleop81.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed