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Red299
4216184.4
2611158.6
6635108.9
Blue383
5674184.6
6085128.1
7197137.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298328100200400500600299383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.40.3
175.3175.6
Auto24.8
Teleop139.2
End22.3
blue by 0.3
184.60.0
174.5174.5
Auto21.3
Teleop134.2
End28.9
Second
158.62.2
142.4144.6
Auto22.1
Teleop118.8
End16.3
red by 21.2
7197
#12
137.38.3
107.4115.7
Auto17.0
Teleop101.0
End19.0
Third
6635
#26
108.90.6
104.4103.8
Auto14.4
Teleop83.7
End11.3
blue by 19.2
6085
#28
128.11.1
129.3128.3
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned