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Red320
5205137.9
7254110.0
6556118.4
Blue182
5282117.5
7166111.6
6592111.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312110100300400320182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.92.2
138.6140.7
Auto18.9
Teleop107.8
End8.6
red by 20.3
5282
#22
117.51.0
109.9111.0
Auto15.2
Teleop89.9
End12.0
Second
6556
#15
118.40.9
113.6114.5
Auto17.5
Teleop86.9
End15.3
red by 6.7
6592
#39
111.71.0
104.6103.6
Auto16.8
Teleop84.8
End11.3
Third
7254
#13
110.00.3
113.5113.2
Auto17.5
Teleop78.4
End13.8
blue by 1.6
7166
#33
111.63.4
100.4103.8
Auto15.5
Teleop87.1
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed