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Red192
6595113.7
5688128.3
6085128.1
Blue248
7197137.3
7144131.8
4568116.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316268100200400500192248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5688
#20
128.33.8
123.4127.3
Auto17.2
Teleop95.6
End12.6
blue by 9.0
7197
#12
137.35.1
123.4128.5
Auto17.0
Teleop101.0
End19.0
Second
6085
#28
128.10.4
128.2127.9
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End11.4
blue by 3.7
7144
#18
131.81.0
126.6127.7
Auto18.4
Teleop94.9
End18.1
Third
6595
#29
113.73.1
111.6114.7
Auto17.9
Teleop87.5
End7.4
blue by 3.0
4568
#35
116.70.5
115.6116.1
Auto18.2
Teleop85.3
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed