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Red47
659486.7
302184.6
555999.7
Blue194
7221102.9
5282117.5
7101104.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340204010030040050047194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#11
184.61.2
177.6178.8
Auto18.6
Teleop145.6
End21.9
red by 67.0
5282
#22
117.51.7
111.8113.5
Auto15.2
Teleop89.9
End12.0
Second
5559
#36
99.71.0
99.9100.9
Auto15.2
Teleop74.9
End10.7
blue by 4.9
7101
#31
104.50.8
100.3101.1
Auto14.9
Teleop78.4
End9.4
Third
6594
#40
86.71.5
96.995.5
Auto12.7
Teleop68.3
End6.7
blue by 16.2
7221
#38
102.90.6
101.4100.9
Auto15.0
Teleop81.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed