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Red253
7166111.6
7226112.7
6085128.1
Blue438
5282117.5
5710114.4
302184.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343340100200300400500253438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6085
#28
128.10.4
127.1127.5
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End11.4
blue by 56.5
302
#11
184.60.6
178.1177.5
Auto18.6
Teleop145.6
End21.9
Second
7226
#32
112.71.8
106.3108.1
Auto16.2
Teleop79.2
End21.2
blue by 4.9
5282
#22
117.50.1
114.9114.8
Auto15.2
Teleop89.9
End12.0
Third
7166
#33
111.60.9
107.9108.9
Auto15.5
Teleop87.1
End10.7
blue by 2.7
5710
#16
114.40.2
110.4110.6
Auto18.3
Teleop85.7
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed