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Red241
7202127.3
4568116.7
7221102.9
Blue386
7144131.8
5205137.9
5676149.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433550100200300400500241386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7202
#21
127.32.3
119.9122.2
Auto17.7
Teleop96.5
End14.9
blue by 22.5
149.82.0
140.1142.1
Auto18.8
Teleop103.9
End28.5
Second
4568
#35
116.70.3
116.6116.9
Auto18.2
Teleop85.3
End12.1
blue by 21.2
137.90.3
141.9141.6
Auto18.9
Teleop107.8
End8.6
Third
7221
#38
102.91.1
100.4101.5
Auto15.0
Teleop81.6
End9.1
blue by 28.9
7144
#18
131.80.8
128.6129.4
Auto18.4
Teleop94.9
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed82%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed