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Red356
6595113.7
6591128.9
302184.6
Blue139
7226112.7
5282117.5
1504146.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321263100200400500356139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#11
184.62.3
167.7169.9
Auto18.6
Teleop145.6
End21.9
red by 37.7
1504
#25
146.90.5
151.8152.3
Auto19.3
Teleop107.9
End17.7
Second
128.90.7
112.9113.6
Auto19.4
Teleop92.8
End15.0
red by 11.3
5282
#22
117.51.1
106.6107.7
Auto15.2
Teleop89.9
End12.0
Third
6595
#29
113.710.5
82.492.9
Auto17.9
Teleop87.5
End7.4
red by 1.1
7226
#32
112.744.1
121.877.7
Auto16.2
Teleop79.2
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed