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Red254
7101104.5
7056136.6
6556118.4
Blue229
5710114.4
6085128.1
7195132.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1993460100300400500600254229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7056
#23
136.69.8
77.787.5
Auto15.8
Teleop98.8
End26.1
red by 4.0
7195
#27
132.60.5
127.8128.2
Auto18.5
Teleop98.3
End12.2
Second
6556
#15
118.40.2
110.7110.9
Auto17.5
Teleop86.9
End15.3
blue by 9.7
6085
#28
128.10.3
130.8130.5
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End11.4
Third
7101
#31
104.50.6
98.298.9
Auto14.9
Teleop78.4
End9.4
blue by 9.8
5710
#16
114.48.1
96.4104.5
Auto18.3
Teleop85.7
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed