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Red277
5216147.2
66166.6
6538141.0
Blue307
470129.6
6861126.9
4395130.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357306200400500600277307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#5
166.60.7
165.9166.6
Auto21.6
Teleop125.7
End21.8
red by 36.5
4395
#28
130.20.4
129.0129.4
Auto13.4
Teleop104.0
End14.5
Second
147.20.3
147.5147.2
Auto17.5
Teleop105.0
End24.6
red by 17.6
470
#23
129.60.2
129.0129.2
Auto18.7
Teleop103.6
End7.7
Third
6538
#22
141.00.5
141.5141.0
Auto21.5
Teleop103.9
End14.6
red by 14.1
126.91.3
123.3124.6
Auto21.1
Teleop94.8
End12.9