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Red394
5050166.8
3656179.7
6618166.5
Blue355
3542147.5
1023185.4
830126.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421305200500600700394355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.70.7
176.4177.1
Auto23.2
Teleop122.3
End35.2
blue by 5.7
185.40.3
184.9185.1
Auto22.1
Teleop133.6
End30.0
Second
166.80.6
164.0164.6
Auto21.4
Teleop121.2
End24.3
red by 19.3
3542
#11
147.50.2
147.8147.6
Auto21.8
Teleop113.3
End10.6
Third
6618
#26
166.50.1
165.7165.9
Auto17.0
Teleop123.4
End23.7
red by 40.1
830
#13
126.40.1
126.6126.5
Auto17.4
Teleop95.7
End11.0