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Red242
3542147.5
6101127.1
6081126.5
Blue354
3641184.0
4395130.2
3322134.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253375100200300500600242354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3542
#11
147.513.8
94.7108.5
Auto21.8
Teleop113.3
End10.6
blue by 36.5
184.02.0
170.5172.4
Auto25.6
Teleop139.0
End18.3
Second
6101
#32
127.11.5
136.0134.5
Auto18.1
Teleop94.0
End12.2
blue by 7.6
3322
#16
134.714.3
89.8104.1
Auto18.1
Teleop101.2
End15.6
Third
126.50.2
116.4116.2
Auto17.0
Teleop90.6
End20.5
blue by 3.6
4395
#28
130.214.7
86.3101.0
Auto13.4
Teleop104.0
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed