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Qual 22018 FIM District Lincoln Event
Red298
5216147.2
453117.5
6618166.5
Blue370
3414124.2
1023185.4
5498119.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273377100200300500600298370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#26
166.51.3
161.7→163.0
Auto17.0
Teleop123.4
End23.7
blue by 18.9
1023
#4
185.40.0
186.8→186.8
Auto22.1
Teleop133.6
End30.0
Second
5216
#7
147.214.1
92.0→106.1
Auto17.5
Teleop105.0
End24.6
red by 23.1
3414
#29
124.214.6
87.1→101.8
Auto17.3
Teleop96.7
End10.6
Third
453
#27
117.50.1
107.1→107.0
Auto15.7
Teleop89.8
End12.5
blue by 1.9
5498
#20
119.514.8
85.3→100.1
Auto17.9
Teleop89.0
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed