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Red84
6861126.9
4568110.1
6538141.0
Blue436
470129.6
3604180.5
66166.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244348010020030040050060084436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6538
#22
141.012.4
108.2120.6
Auto21.5
Teleop103.9
End14.6
blue by 39.5
180.50.7
156.6157.4
Auto23.3
Teleop129.0
End28.9
Second
126.967.0
144.877.7
Auto21.1
Teleop94.8
End12.9
blue by 39.8
66
#5
166.613.4
98.7112.1
Auto21.6
Teleop125.7
End21.8
Third
4568
#17
110.116.9
66.283.1
Auto16.0
Teleop83.1
End13.0
blue by 19.5
470
#23
129.60.6
120.4121.0
Auto18.7
Teleop103.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed