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Red367
5067116.2
6150111.9
5567162.9
Blue182
6013102.3
6029105.9
910155.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2452970100200400500600700367182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5567
#18
162.913.8
94.8108.6
Auto20.0
Teleop118.6
End25.5
red by 7.0
910
#14
155.913.3
99.4112.7
Auto22.8
Teleop118.0
End13.1
Second
5067
#24
116.20.9
114.1113.2
Auto12.2
Teleop91.3
End12.4
red by 10.3
6029
#35
105.92.6
123.4120.8
Auto16.7
Teleop78.2
End11.2
Third
6150
#12
111.91.2
90.691.8
Auto17.2
Teleop80.1
End17.3
red by 9.6
6013
#37
102.316.9
66.483.3
Auto13.9
Teleop81.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed