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Red281
5853123.4
830126.4
3547155.8
Blue259
5066114.3
2832143.7
5708111.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3092630100200400500281259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3547
#10
155.80.8
139.6140.5
Auto17.5
Teleop124.6
End14.3
red by 12.1
2832
#19
143.713.5
97.2110.7
Auto20.3
Teleop105.3
End18.9
Second
830
#13
126.40.0
120.3120.3
Auto17.4
Teleop95.7
End11.0
red by 12.1
5066
#21
114.30.7
104.1104.8
Auto16.9
Teleop88.0
End11.4
Third
5853
#30
123.416.1
73.589.6
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End14.2
red by 11.5
5708
#33
111.916.6
69.486.0
Auto16.9
Teleop85.5
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed