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Red292
5530144.2
453117.5
3547155.8
Blue353
3656179.7
5066114.3
5050166.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292299100200400500600292353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3547
#10
155.81.8
142.3144.0
Auto17.5
Teleop124.6
End14.3
blue by 23.9
179.77.6
135.1142.8
Auto23.2
Teleop122.3
End35.2
Second
5530
#15
144.27.0
120.6127.6
Auto21.1
Teleop108.6
End15.1
blue by 22.6
166.86.1
124.6130.7
Auto21.4
Teleop121.2
End24.3
Third
453
#27
117.50.4
107.2107.6
Auto15.7
Teleop89.8
End12.5
red by 3.2
5066
#21
114.31.0
106.0107.0
Auto16.9
Teleop88.0
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned