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Red363
5067116.2
5853123.4
1023185.4
Blue284
5448115.5
6618166.5
66166.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2973160100200400500600700800363284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.42.4
185.6183.1
Auto22.1
Teleop133.6
End30.0
red by 18.8
66
#5
166.64.6
136.2140.7
Auto21.6
Teleop125.7
End21.8
Second
5853
#30
123.41.0
108.7107.8
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End14.2
blue by 43.2
6618
#26
166.50.6
166.8166.2
Auto17.0
Teleop123.4
End23.7
Third
5067
#24
116.20.4
115.2115.6
Auto12.2
Teleop91.3
End12.4
red by 0.7
5448
#34
115.51.1
100.899.7
Auto16.7
Teleop84.7
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed