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Red276
470129.6
4568110.1
910155.9
Blue298
3547155.8
714792.4
3542147.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693020100200400500600276298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#14
155.94.7
128.9133.6
Auto22.8
Teleop118.0
End13.1
red by 0.1
3547
#10
155.81.7
144.0145.7
Auto17.5
Teleop124.6
End14.3
Second
470
#23
129.60.6
124.0124.6
Auto18.7
Teleop103.6
End7.7
blue by 17.9
3542
#11
147.55.3
131.6136.9
Auto21.8
Teleop113.3
End10.6
Third
4568
#17
110.14.3
101.7106.0
Auto16.0
Teleop83.1
End13.0
red by 17.8
7147
#25
92.40.2
95.195.3
Auto14.3
Teleop72.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed