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Red166
1502110.2
5498119.5
5708111.9
Blue407
3604180.5
6081126.5
6861126.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653000100200400500600166407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5498
#20
119.50.7
120.4121.1
Auto17.9
Teleop89.0
End14.6
blue by 61.0
180.52.4
160.9163.3
Auto23.3
Teleop129.0
End28.9
Second
5708
#33
111.91.2
112.3113.5
Auto16.9
Teleop85.5
End10.4
blue by 15.0
126.91.0
95.496.4
Auto21.1
Teleop94.8
End12.9
Third
1502
#36
110.20.9
117.5116.6
Auto15.1
Teleop84.8
End9.3
blue by 16.3
126.50.7
114.9114.2
Auto17.0
Teleop90.6
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned