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Red377
3656179.7
470129.6
5853123.4
Blue257
6852140.8
5067116.2
3322134.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305296100200400500377257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.74.7
150.5155.1
Auto23.2
Teleop122.3
End35.2
red by 38.9
6852
#31
140.80.9
141.3140.4
Auto18.8
Teleop106.4
End15.1
Second
470
#23
129.60.2
124.6124.8
Auto18.7
Teleop103.6
End7.7
blue by 5.0
3322
#16
134.73.0
132.1135.1
Auto18.1
Teleop101.2
End15.6
Third
5853
#30
123.41.3
107.8109.0
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End14.2
red by 7.1
5067
#24
116.21.0
115.6116.7
Auto12.2
Teleop91.3
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed