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Qual 382018 FIM District Lincoln Event
Red282
3542147.5
6861126.9
4395130.2
Blue398
5216147.2
1023185.4
6150111.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269361100200300400500282398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3542
#11
147.55.2
136.9→142.1
Auto21.8
Teleop113.3
End10.6
blue by 37.9
1023
#4
185.41.2
183.1→182.0
Auto22.1
Teleop133.6
End30.0
Second
4395
#28
130.20.9
117.2→118.1
Auto13.4
Teleop104.0
End14.5
blue by 17.1
5216
#7
147.22.8
130.9→133.6
Auto17.5
Teleop105.0
End24.6
Third
6861
#8
126.93.9
96.4→100.3
Auto21.1
Teleop94.8
End12.9
red by 14.9
6150
#12
111.92.4
100.1→102.5
Auto17.2
Teleop80.1
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed