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Red115
5144104.6
3414124.2
4568110.1
Blue414
5853123.4
453117.5
5567162.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278317100200400500115414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#29
124.21.2
126.8128.0
Auto17.3
Teleop96.7
End10.6
blue by 38.7
5567
#18
162.92.5
151.1153.6
Auto20.0
Teleop118.6
End25.5
Second
4568
#17
110.12.7
108.1110.7
Auto16.0
Teleop83.1
End13.0
blue by 13.2
5853
#30
123.43.2
109.0112.2
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End14.2
Third
5144
#38
104.60.9
113.3114.1
Auto14.7
Teleop80.9
End9.0
blue by 13.0
453
#27
117.51.7
108.4110.1
Auto15.7
Teleop89.8
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed