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Red226
6029105.9
4395130.2
6618166.5
Blue401
6852140.8
3547155.8
6861126.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2993210100200400500600226401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#26
166.50.1
165.8166.0
Auto17.0
Teleop123.4
End23.7
red by 10.7
3547
#10
155.81.0
147.6148.6
Auto17.5
Teleop124.6
End14.3
Second
4395
#28
130.21.8
118.1119.9
Auto13.4
Teleop104.0
End14.5
blue by 10.6
6852
#31
140.80.7
140.4139.7
Auto18.8
Teleop106.4
End15.1
Third
6029
#35
105.90.9
113.1112.1
Auto16.7
Teleop78.2
End11.2
blue by 21.0
126.93.8
100.3104.1
Auto21.1
Teleop94.8
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed