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Red357
377390.0
910155.9
5050166.8
Blue114
5067116.2
4568110.1
3542147.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334280100200400500600357114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.83.8
150.1153.9
Auto21.4
Teleop121.2
End24.3
red by 19.3
3542
#11
147.54.5
146.8151.3
Auto21.8
Teleop113.3
End10.6
Second
910
#14
155.95.6
142.2147.8
Auto22.8
Teleop118.0
End13.1
red by 39.7
5067
#24
116.20.6
117.5118.2
Auto12.2
Teleop91.3
End12.4
Third
3773
#39
90.01.8
94.993.1
Auto10.0
Teleop67.4
End12.6
blue by 20.2
4568
#17
110.10.8
110.7110.0
Auto16.0
Teleop83.1
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed