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Red251
2832143.7
3414124.2
5448115.5
Blue384
3604180.5
5530144.2
4395130.2
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241388100200300500600251384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#19
143.71.8
140.2138.4
Auto20.3
Teleop105.3
End18.9
blue by 36.8
180.52.0
169.9171.9
Auto23.3
Teleop129.0
End28.9
Second
3414
#29
124.20.9
126.1125.2
Auto17.3
Teleop96.7
End10.6
blue by 20.0
5530
#15
144.20.5
139.7140.2
Auto21.1
Teleop108.6
End15.1
Third
5448
#34
115.52.9
106.5109.4
Auto16.7
Teleop84.7
End17.2
blue by 14.6
4395
#28
130.22.1
120.1122.2
Auto13.4
Teleop104.0
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed